AMPERE

Assessment of Climate Change Mitigation Pathways and Evaluation of the Robustness of Mitigation Cost Estimates

Climate Analytics is involved in evaluating uncertainties in climate science for mitigation pathways. This project studies climate change mitigation pathways and associated mitigation costs under various real world limitations, taking into account uncertainties in the response of the carbon cycle and climate system to different levels of greenhouse gas emissions. AMPERE addresses these issues and uncertainties by analysing mitigation pathways and the associated mitigation costs in a series of multi-model comparisons. 21 partners from Europe and Asia, funded by the EU, will work on AMPERE over the next three years.

It will focus on four central areas:

(i) The role of uncertainty about the climate response to anthropogenic forcing on the remaining carbon budget for supplying societies around the globe with energy,

(ii) the role of technology availability, innovation and myopia in the energy sector,

(iii) the role of policy imperfections like limited regional or sectoral participation in climate policy regimes, and


(iv) the implications for decarbonisation scenarios and policies for Europe.

Climate Analytics contributes to area (i) by exploring carbon budgets and emission levels consistent with long-term goals (to limit global mean greenhouse gas concentrations and temperature increases) and looking into the potential role of climate system feedbacks in shaping optimal emission reduction pathways and strategies. The closest collaboration occurs with Universiteit Utrecht (The Netherlands) and the Hadley Centre (UK).

AMPERE is coordinated by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (Project chair: Ottmar Edenhofer; Project Director: Elmar Kriegler). The steering committee of the project includes Detlef van Vuuren (Universiteit Utrecht), Keywan Riahi (IIASA), Pantelis Capros (ICCS) and Valentina Bosetti (FEEM).

For more information about the project please visit the AMPERE project website.

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