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Publications will be continually updated.

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2014
Air-pollution emission ranges consistent with the representative concentration pathways, Rogelj, Joeri, Rao S., McCollum L., Pachauri S., Klimont Z., Krey V., and Riahi K. , Nature Clim. Change, 05/2014, Volume DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2178, (2014)
Journal Article
Below 2°C or 1.5°C depends on rapid action from both Annex I and non-Annex I countries, Hare, Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Lindberg Marie, Höhne Niklas, Fekete Hanna, Jeffery Louise, Gütschow Johannes, Sferra Fabio, and Rocha Marcia , CAT Briefing, 06/2014, (2014)
Climate Action Tracker reports and updates
CAT_Bonn_policy_update_jun2014.pdf (3.27 MB)
Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy., Rogelj, Joeri, Meinshausen Malte, Sedláček J., and Knutti R. , Environmental Research Letters, 03/2014, Volume 9(3): 031003, (2014)
Journal Article
Squaring the Circle of Mitigation Adequacy and Equity: Options and Perspectives, Vieweg, Marion, Sterk Wolfgang, Hare Bill, Hagemann Markus, and Fekete Hanna , Climate Change, 06/2014, Number 3713 41 102, Dessau-Roßlau, p.64, (2014)
Report
2013
Adequacy and feasibility of the 1.5°C long-term global limit, Schaeffer, Michiel, Hare Bill, Rocha Marcia, and Rogelj Joeri , 07/2013, (2013)
Report
Adequacy & feasibility of 1.5c long-term global limit - July 2013-v2.pdf (6.99 MB)
Africa’s Adaptation Gap: Climate-change impacts, adaptation challenges and costs for Africa, Schaeffer, Michiel, Baarsch Florent, Adams Sophie, de Bruin Kelly, De Marez Laetitia, Freitas Sandra, Hof Andries F., and Hare Bill , 11/2013, (2013)
Technical Report
Schaeffer et al (2013) AfricaÕs A daptation Gap technical report.pdf (3.26 MB)
Climate shuffle: Climate Action Tracker Update, 12 June 2013, Vieweg, Marion, Hare Bill, Höhne Niklas, Schaeffer Michiel, Rocha Marcia, Larkin Julia, Fekete Hanna, Gütschow Johannes, and Jeffery Louise , 06/2013, (2013)
Climate Action Tracker reports and updates
CAT Bonn update 2013 06 12_final.pdf (273.88 KB)
Emerging economies – potentials, pledges and fair shares of greenhouse gas reduction, Fekete, Hanna, Höhne Niklas, Hagemann Markus, Wehnert Timon, Mersmann Florian, Vieweg Marion, Rocha Marcia, Schaeffer Michiel, and Hare William , Climate Change Nr. 06/2013, 04/2013, Number FKZ / Projektnr: 3711 41 120, (2013)
Report
How agricultural microinsurance can help smallholders reduce their risk of climate-related disaster, Baarsch, Florent, Huppert Johanna, and Tewes-Gradl Christina , 10/2013, Berlin, (2013)
Working Paper
Baarsch et al 2013 MI_DRR_reviewpaper.pdf (169.83 KB)
Options for Resource Allocation in the Green Climate Fund (GCF): Design elements of the GCF allocation mechanism, Jung, Martina , Options for Resource Allocation in the Green Climate Fund (GCF), 11/2013, Number 1, (2013)
Background Paper
GCF Allocation Options_Background Paper 1.pdf (259.31 KB)
Options for Resource Allocation in the Green Climate Fund (GCF): Incentivizing Paradigm Shift Within The GCF Allocation Framework, Vieweg, Marion, and Noble Ian , Options for Resource Allocation in the Green Climate Fund (GCF), 11/2013, Number 2, (2013)
Background Paper
GCF Allocation Options_Background Paper 2.pdf (2.38 MB)
Options for Resource Allocation in the Green Climate Fund (GCF) Possible Allocation Principles and Criteria - Adaptation, Noble, Ian , Options for Resource Allocation in the Green Climate Fund (GCF), 11/2013, Number 3, (2013)
Background Paper
GCF Allocation Options_Background Paper 3.pdf (281.53 KB)
Options for Resource Allocation in the Green Climate Fund (GCF): Possible Allocation Principles and Criteria – Mitigation, Vieweg, Marion , Options for Resource Allocation in the Green Climate Fund (GCF), 11/2013, Number 4, (2013)
Background Paper
GCF Allocation Options_Background Paper 4.pdf (366.92 KB)
Risk Shifts under Changing Climate Sensitivity Estimates, Rogelj, Joeri , 27/09/2013, Berlin, (2013)
Working paper
RiskShifts - Climate Analytics Briefing Note 2013-2 20130927.pdf (1003.85 KB)
Scenario Note: Pathways towards Returning Warming to below 1.5°C by 2100, Rogelj, Joeri , 06/2013, (2013)
Briefing paper
1p5degC_Pathways- Climate Analytics Briefing Note 2013-1 20120621_final.pdf (225.57 KB)
Turn Down the Heat: Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Hare Bill, Serdeczny Olivia, Schaeffer Michiel, Adams Sophie, Baarsch Florent, Schwan Susanne, Coumou Dim, Robinson Alexander, Vieweg Marion, et al. , A Report for the World Bank by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate Analytics, 06/2013, 1818 H Street NW, Washington DC 20433, (2013)
Report
English_Executive_Summary_Turn_Down_The_Heat_Climate_Extremes_Regional_Impacts_Case_for_Resilience.pdf (4.36 MB) Full Report_Turn Down the Heat_June 2013.pdf (6.81 MB)
The UN's 'Sustainable Energy for All' initiative is compatible with a warming limit of 2°C., Rogelj, Joeri, McCollum D. L., and Riahi K. , Nature Clim. Change, 02/2013, Volume 3(6): 545-551, (2013)
2012
Analysis of mitigation proposals from emerging economies: pledges, potentials and necessary efforts, Vieweg, Marion, Rocha Marcia, Schaeffer Michiel, Hare Bill, Fekete Hanna, Höhne Niklas, Hagemann Markus, Wehnert Timon, and Mersmann Florian , 26 November, (2012)
Presentation
Presentation (1.94 MB)
Climate Action Tracker Mexico - Assessment of Mexico's policies impacting its greenhouse gas emissions profile, Höhne, Niklas, Hare Bill, Vieweg Marion, Moltmann Sara, Hagemann Markus, Schüler Viviane, Schaeffer Michiel, Fekete Hanna, and Rocha Marcia , 3 May, (2012)
Climate Action Tracker reports and Updates
Climate Action Tracker update: 2° be or not 2° be, Vieweg, Marion, Hare Bill, Höhne Niklas, Schaeffer Michiel, Larkin Julia, Fekete Hanna, Schleussner Carl-Friedrich, and Rogelj Joeri , 30 November, (2012)
Climate Action Tracker reports and Updates
CAT briefing: 2° be or not 2° be (757.66 KB)
Climate Action Tracker Update: Governments still set on 3°C warming track, some progress, but many playing with numbers, Vieweg, Marion, Hare Bill, Höhne Niklas, Schaeffer Michiel, Rocha Marcia, Larkin Julia, Fekete Hanna, Macey Kirsten, and Gütschow Johannes , (2012) CAT Update September 2012.pdf (757.54 KB)
Closing the 2020 emissions gap: issues, options and strategies, Hare, William, Schaeffer Michiel, Rocha Marcia, Rogelj Joeri, Höhne Niklas, Blok Kornelis, van der Leun Kees, and Harrison Nicholas , London, (2012) Closing the 2020 emissions gap_Briefing.pdf (5.83 MB) Closing the 2020 emissions gap_Executive Summary.pdf (80.35 KB)
Copenhagen Accord Pledges imply higher costs for staying below 2°C warming, v. d. van Vliet, Jasper M. B., Schaeffer Michiel, van Vuuren Detlef P., den Elzen Michel, Hof Andries F., Beltran Angelica Mendoza, and Meinshausen Malte , Climatic Change, Volume 1, Number 11, (2012)
Peer reviewed
Evaluation of IEA ETP 2012 emission scenarios, Schaeffer, Michiel , May, (2012)
Working paper
Evaluation of IEA ETP 2012 emission scenarios (757.29 KB)
German Fast Start Finance: Lessons learned for long-term finance, Vieweg, Marion, Esch Anja, Grießhaber Linde, Fuller Frances, Mersmann Florian, Fallasch Felix, and De Marez Laetitia , (2012) 2012-German_FSF_Study.pdf (2.57 MB)
Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates, Rogelj, Joeri, Meinshausen Malte, and Knutti Reto , Nature Climate Change, Volume 2, p. 248–253, (2012)
Peer reviewed
Hot topic: AAU surplus. Political implications of the long-term effect of surplus from the first and second Kyoto period, Vieweg, Marion, Schaeffer Michiel, Chen Claudine, Gütschow Johannes, Hare Bill, and Rocha Marcia , 30 November, (2012)
Working paper
Report - Hot topic: AAU surplus (587.36 KB)
Long-term sea-level rise implied by 1.5 degree and 2 degree Celsius warming levels, Schaeffer, Michiel, Hare William, Rahmstorf Stefan, and Vermeer Martin , Nature Climate Change: Letters, 06/2012, (2012)
Peer reviewed
Schaeffer et al (2012) Long-term SLR.pdf (758.39 KB)
National GHG emissions reduction pledges and 2°C: comparison of studies, Höhne, Niklas C. T., Elias Ramzi, den Elzen Michel, Riahi Keywan, Chen Claudine, Rogelj Joeri, Grassi Giacomo, Wagner Fabian, Levin Kelly, Massetti Emanuele, et al. , Climate Policy, Volume 12, Number 3, p.356-377 , (2012)
Peer reviewed
A Scaling Approach to Probabilistic Assessment of Regional Climate Change, Frieler, Katja, Meinshausen Malte, Mengel Matthias, Braun Nadine, and Hare William , Journal of Climate, May 2012, Volume 29, Number 9, p.3117-3144, (2012)
Peer reviewed
Science update - Loss and Damage - Climate Change Today and under Future Scenarios, Coumou, Dim, and Schaeffer Michiel , Loss and Damage in Vulnerable Countries Initiative, 08/2012, Berlin, (2012)
Report
Coumou and Schaeffer (2012) Science update - Loss and Damage - Climate Change Today and under Future Scenarios.pdf (1.34 MB)
Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Hare William, Serdeczny Olivia, Adams Sophie, Coumou Dim, Frieler Katja, Martin Maria, Otto Ilona M., Perrette Mahé, Robinson Alexander, et al. , A Report for the World Bank by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Climate Analytics, November 2012, 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433, (2012)
Peer reviewed
Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided - Full Report (7.57 MB) Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided - Executive Summary (3.59 MB)
2011
After Durban: Risk of delay in raising ambition lowers chances for 2°C, while heading for 3.5°C, Climate Action Tracker Update, 11 December 2011, Höhne, Niklas, Hare Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, and Vieweg-Mersmann Marion , December, (2011)
Climate Action Tracker reports and Updates
China emission paradox: Cancun emissions intensity pledge to be surpassed but emissions higher, Hare, Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Vieweg Marion, and Höhne Niklas , October, (2011)
Climate Action Tracker reports and Updates
China emission paradox: Cancun emissions intensity pledge to be surpassed but emissions higher, Hare, Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Vieweg Marion, and Höhne Niklas , October, (2011)
Presentation
CHINA EMISSION PARADOX: CANCUN EMISSIONS INTENSITY PLEDGE TO BE SURPASSED BUT EMISSIONS HIGHER (1.96 MB)
Climate Action Tracker Australia - Assessment of Australia's policies impacting its greenhouse gas emissions profile, Vieweg, Marion, Schaeffer Michiel, Hare Bill, Rocha Marcia, Höhne Niklas, Braun Nadine, Hagemann Markus, Fekete Hanna, Grötzinger Jan, Schüler Vivian, et al. , 29 November, (2011)
Climate Action Tracker reports and Updates
Climate change risks for African agriculture., Müller, C., Cramer W., Hare W. L., and Lotze-Campen H. , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS). 108 (11), p.4313-4315, (2011)
Peer reviewed
Climate hotspots: key vulnerable regions, climate change and limits to warming, Hare, W. L., Cramer W., M. Schaeffer, Battaglini A., and C. Jaeger. , Regional Environmental Change, Online first, (2011)
Peer reviewed
Hare et al (2010) REC - Climate hotspots- key vulnerable regions, climate change and limits to warming.pdf (288.97 KB)
Decision support for international climate policy - The PRIMAP emission module, Nabel, Julia E. M. S., Rogelj Joeri, Chen Claudine M., Markmann Kathleen, Gutzmann David J. H., and Meinshausen Malte , Environmental Modelling & Software, Volume 26, Number 12, p.1419-1433, (2011)
Peer reviewed
Discrepancies in historical emissions point to a wider 2020 gap between 2 °C benchmarks and aggregated national mitigation pledges, Rogelj, Joeri, Hare William, Chen Claudine, and Meinshausen Malte , Environmental Research Letters, Volume 6, Number 024002, (2011)
Peer reviewed
Emission pathways consistent with a 2degC global temperature limit, Rogelj, Joeri, Hare William, Lowe Jason, van Vuuren Detlef P., Riahi Keywan, Matthews Ben, Hanaoka Tatsuya, Jiang Kejun, and Meinshausen Malte , Nature Clim. Change, Volume 1, Number 8, p.413-418, (2011)
Peer reviewed
The Emissions Gap – An Update. In: Bridging the Emissions Gap - A UNEP Synthesis Report, Höhne, N., J. Rogelj, K. Jiang, C. Chen, R. Dellink, den M. Elzen, C. Gesteira, K. Levin, J. Lowe, E. Massetti, et al. , November, (2011)
Peer reviewed
Future Sea Level Rise and its Implications for SIDS and LDCs (presentation for the Western Pacific Islands Durban, 2nd December), Hare, Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Perrette Mahe, and Mengel Matthias , December, (2011)
Presentation
Future Sea Level Rise and its Implications for SIDS and LDCs (presentation for the Western Pacific Islands Durban, 2nd December) (1.43 MB)
How could LDCs benefit from Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMA)?, Freitas, Sandra, Vieweg Marion, Macey Kirsten, and De Marez Laetitia , November, (2011)
Briefing paper
How could LDCs benefit from NAMAs? (430.24 KB)
International Emissions. In: Bridging the Emissions Gap - A UNEP Synthesis Report, S., Lee D., W. Hare, O. Endresen, V. Eyring, J. Faber, P. Lockley, L. Maurice, M. Schaeffer, and C. Wilson , November, (2011)
Peer reviewed
Keynote Presentations at the GREENCYCLESII Summer School, Peyresq 15 - 24 May 2011, Hare, Bill , April, (2011)
Presentation
Keynote Presentations at the GREENCYCLESII Summer School, Peyresq 15 - 24 May 2011 (16 MB)
Mitigation, pledge, impacts and effects on LDC, Schaeffer, Michiel, Fallasch Felix, Freitas Sandra, Macey Kirsten, Rogelj Joeri, and Hare Bill , November, (2011)
Briefing paper
Mitigation - pledges, impacts and effects on LDCs (1.62 MB)
Negotiations heading towards high warming, high cost pathway, Höhne, Niklas, Hare Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Chen Claudine, Rocha Marcia, Vieweg-Mersmann Marion, Fekete Hanna, Rogelj Joeri, Macey Kirsten, and Fallasch Felix , December, (2011)
Climate Action Tracker reports and Updates
No move to close the gap at Bangkok climate talks, Höhne, Niklas, Hare Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Chen Claudine, Vieweg Marion, and Moltmann Sara , April, (2011)
Climate Action Tracker reports and Updates
Periodic Review, Background and Analysis, Hare, Bill, Schaeffer Michiel, Macey Kirsten, Freitas Sandra, and Doebert Henrike , November, (2011)
Briefing paper
Periodic Review, Background and Analysis (389.49 KB)

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